Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 111.147143 127.413103 146.173078 169.630227 198.489501 233.254347 278.954709
2025-03-23 91.423002 112.632759 139.715530 177.719047 231.188367 306.259406 424.652547
2025-03-30 76.334763 98.111272 127.673463 172.287617 240.926673 348.366510 543.292968
2025-04-06 67.870086 90.229602 122.129104 173.301575 258.422390 405.650061 712.204331
2025-04-13 61.154136 83.509292 116.702034 172.705329 272.295749 460.650145 907.997026
2025-04-20 57.570639 80.718198 116.483505 180.022798 301.272859 554.370254 1256.774020
2025-04-27 55.745000 80.247230 119.662077 193.539518 345.622986 700.498761 1892.754856
2025-05-04 51.523001 75.436588 114.923816 191.615456 357.892518 778.064158 2415.197959
2025-05-11 48.532597 72.270601 112.514020 193.574966 379.165595 890.796822 3265.230945
2025-05-18 45.176724 68.142412 107.868387 190.183881 386.984645 969.900776 4131.888527
2025-05-25 42.872945 65.574395 105.716605 191.544917 407.055888 1101.553129 5699.519456
2025-06-01 40.705252 63.035733 103.308355 191.907744 424.755967 1238.853036 7902.804163
2025-06-08 37.905481 59.337160 98.662220 187.395516 430.427402 1347.769730 10710.541374
2025-06-15 36.821703 58.649287 99.836689 196.726170 481.263779 1711.610342 21548.595506
2025-06-22 34.313184 55.117326 94.915524 190.498898 481.367026 1834.049769 31003.026964
2025-06-29 32.753562 53.216771 93.099779 191.660836 506.955790 2138.128079 60602.468080
2025-07-06 31.184742 51.164432 90.733669 190.977536 526.220666 2441.840140 127943.390201
2025-07-13 30.486551 50.716744 91.710113 199.371327 584.035779 3155.814936 716002.733054
2025-07-20 30.325138 51.293890 94.977899 214.920717 681.261974 4562.153063 NaN
2025-07-27 28.937670 49.311363 92.287384 212.703855 699.845258 5229.691148 NaN
2025-08-03 27.950571 48.064687 91.149453 214.961570 741.802109 6433.700841 NaN
2025-08-10 26.664277 46.115947 88.187769 211.055163 751.350956 7224.770738 NaN
2025-08-17 25.792691 44.967016 87.007503 212.622604 791.857989 8924.059456 NaN